Structured Curriculum
One year of structured access covering probability, microstructure, and decision science.
A Structured Education Program
Prediction markets, taught as a discipline.
A one-year education program on CFTC-regulated event contract markets.
Apply for Enrollment
Kneiser Consulting is a structured education program. We do not provide financial advice, investment recommendations, signals, picks, or predictions of any kind. Enrollment does not include access to any trading, betting, or wagering platform, and does not include capital, funding, or account access of any kind.
What You'll Learn
A framework for thinking about markets.
Methodology over prediction. Study the structure, not the outcome.
Live Weekly Sessions
Join weekly cohort sessions to review frameworks, work through case studies, and ask questions directly.
Framework, Not Predictions
Learn how to analyze CFTC-regulated event contract markets as an academic discipline. This is a study of market structure and probability theory. No picks, no signals, no predictions, no trading advice, no wagering guidance.
Cohort Community
Small application-based cohorts. Study alongside a focused group of analysts and curious learners.
Curriculum
Six modules. One-year access.
01
Foundations
CFTC framework and how event contracts work.
02
Probability
Reading price as implied probability.
03
Microstructure
Order books, liquidity, market behavior.
04
Decision Science
Frameworks and biases under uncertainty.
05
Risk Concepts
Sizing and diversification as theory.
06
Applied Analysis
Case studies and methodology review.
For
Built for.
- Analysts and curious learners
- Patience for probability and market analysis
- Interest in event contracts as a regulated category
Not for
Not for.
- Seeking financial advice or signals
- Expecting a system that predicts outcomes
- Looking for shortcuts
- Anyone under 18 or in a jurisdiction where CFTC-regulated event contracts are restricted
Instructor
James Kneiser
Founder and Lead Instructor
James is a probability and market microstructure researcher. He founded Kneiser Consulting to teach the analytical framework used to study CFTC-regulated event contract markets as an academic discipline.
His approach is straightforward. Treat markets as a subject of study, not a source of tips. Education, not advice.
FAQ
Frequently Asked.
A CFTC-regulated derivative whose payoff depends on the outcome of a future event. Event contracts trade on CFTC-registered Designated Contract Markets. They are legally distinct from sports wagering under federal law and are regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission.
Enrollment Open
Study the framework.
Applications for the next cohort are open.
Apply for EnrollmentKneiser Consulting is an education program only. Not financial advice. Not investment advice. Not a signals or picks service. Not affiliated with any exchange, DCM, or wagering platform. Program is available to applicants 18 years of age or older in eligible jurisdictions.